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COMM 300: Financial Analysis

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  • Capital in capital budgeting: the budgeting of the use of the assets in the firm
  • Capital in weighted average cost of capital: the average cost of the "capital structure"


Contents

[edit] Class notes

[edit] 10/4/2005


[edit] 10/5/2005

[edit] 10/27/2005

[edit] 10/31/2005


[edit] 11/02/2005


[edit] 11/03/2005

[edit] Writing a case

  • Major parts:
    • Intro
      • KNOW EVERYTHING about the situation
      • Contries
      • Significance of era
      • Who are the players
      • Everything about it
    • Issues
      • What are the problems
      • What do the people need?
    • Analysis
    • Alternatives & decision
    • Action plan


[edit] 11/09/2005

Risk & return

Definations:

Event - particular outcome Probability: percentage chance that an event will occur Probability distribution: the probability of all possible events Uncertainty: variability in outcomes (this can be anything - not just money) Risk: probability of realizing low or negative returns


[edit] Determing returns

See notes for finance version of standard deviation

Coefficient of variation = standard deviation / expected return (Normalizes std. dev. for the return - $1 deviation on a $10 return is more risky than on a $100 return)


[edit] portfolio returns

The weighted average of all the returns (weighted for the percentage amt

[edit] portfolio risk

diversification reduces risk

random diversification can only reduce risk so much. This will only diversify firm-specific risk, not diversify systemaic (macro-economic) risk.


[edit] Misc. Notes

[edit] Using the financial calculator

  • Problem:
    • -50k inital outflow
    • 10 k inflow for 7 years
    • 8k inflow in year 8
    • cost of capital of 9%
  • Calculating on calculator
    • -50,000 button: CFj (enter -50k into Cash flow register)
    • 10,000 CFJ
    • 7 Nj (do that previous command 7 times)
    • 8,000 CFj (year 8)
    • 9 I/YR (enter cost of capital)
    • PRESS NPV for Net Present Value

[edit] Finanacial health

  • Memo on top, giving a diagnosis (what's up)
  • Interpreting the test results
    • Historical ratio analysis
    • Cross sectioanl ratio
    • Sources & uses of funds
      • THIS MUST BALANCE
      • MUST TALKE ABOUT WHERE THEY ARE GETTING THEIR MONEY FROM

[edit] Financial forcasting

  • Memo on top, giving PROGNOSIS
    • Tell them what will happen, and how do you know this.
    • Pro forma
    • Explain assumptions
    • What the result will be (in three years?)
      • Tell what income statement & balance sheet will be like in the next three years
      • BALANCE SHEET MUST BALANCE
      • Surplus or deficit? (must be on one side)
      • Realize: you can get money from a loan, increasing notes payable, increasing AR, cost cutting etc.
    • WE DON'T HAVE TO CALCULATE BETA COEEFICIENT OR STOCK PRICE

[edit] Intro to excel

  • $B$2 is a static reference to B2

[edit] Notes on personal budget

  • make it realisitc
  • determine discount rate by figuring out the cost of capital, then moving it up or down because of risk

the market share reporter

[edit] 11/14/2005

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