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Space probe slowdown

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This is a wiki primarily intended to heuristically extract reason from all that is not false in the ways described by Monte Carlo. Let it be clear that two half proofs do not equal a whole one and that since the unprovable proof proved that it's impossible to prove everything, we should prioritize that which is probably true, which requires analysis of the probability of the non-false things being true.

Two space probes that are leaving the solar system are retracted by a very weak yet unexplained force.

Here's a list of causes according to source 1:

  1. Errors in JPL's orbital determination software
  2. Gravity of the Kuiper belt and gravity from the galaxy
  3. Errors in the planetary ephemeris
  4. Errors in the values of the Earth's orientation, precession, and nutation
  5. Nongravitational effects from solar pressure and attitude control maneuvers
  6. Solar wind and interplanetary medium
  7. Nominal thermal radiation and plutonium half-life
  8. Drifting clocks, general relativity, and the speed of gravity
  9. Hardware problems at the tracking stations.

Most of them are quite unlikely to happen both at the same time, however the reasons 2, 5, 6, 7 and 8 are probable explanations. However, they should be able to calculate this, right?

The explanations about errors are relatively unprobable, as:

  • Both machines with the exact same error, right...
  • They have backups, right? They could test.

An explanation even less probable than all of the above together could be the following:

The only observers are here inside our solar system, and all other planets, stars, galaxies etc. are only approximations. Very detailed approximations if we look at them from our earth, even if we look with a telescope 1000x more detailed than Hubble. However, not every molecule is simulated to save a tremendous amount of computing power.

This theory has a pretty heavy implication though, namely that biogenesis on these planets is impossible. The only way that life on those planets could exist is if it was manually inserted, but as this theory is already improbable enough, let's just say that such a thing did not happen. What would be the point of the simulation in that case anyway?

So, ET does not exist! Finally, an implication! And one that is falsifiable (though not actually certifiable)!

Another implication:

Right from the start of the simulation, our planet was designed to host intelligent life, or our planet was the first planet on which life originated, and the simulation immediately reduced the "resolution" of other planets.

Which directly brings up the next implication:

The simulation would be designed not to actually simulate a universe, but instead to simulate intelligent life on a single solar system and then:
  1. Observe and study their behaviour. and/or
  2. Actually connect extra-universal things and make them believe they are inside the simulation, like in the Matrix! This is sounding more and more like science fiction, but it would explain a lot better why we are self-conscious, although also existing in "RL" is not required to be self-conscious.

And quite a lot of counter-arguments:

  1. What objects should be retracted to the sun? Everything? That would alter the velocities of... everything in outer space? And if it would only retract objects that originate from our solar system, wouldn't that be calculable? It would certainly alter the planet's paths. And it can't be a weak force either, if it has to stop us from going on vacation to other solar systems. So, where is the line?
  2. By the way, asteroids can exit our solar system...

So, conclusion? ...NOT!


Source 1: http://www.technovelgy.com/ct/Science-Fiction-News.asp?NewsNum=270

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This page was last modified on 12 May 2011, at 10:55.
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